Tuesday, October 14, 2008

4A, 10/14

I made an attempt at a top 16 here, based on 4 criteria and the teams receiving votes in the AP poll. 1 & 2 are the Colley and RPI ratings from www.oregonprepsports.net, which is nice enough to link to this blog. 3 is my own point system explained in other parts of this place, which strongly takes into account strength of schedule, and 4 is the latest AP poll.

Team - Colley rank - RPI - My rating - Poll - Total
1. Astoria 2-1-1-3 7
2. Gladstone 5-2-1-2 10
3. Central 4-3-4-1 12
4. Marist 1-4-5-4 14
5. Banks 3-9-3-7 22
6. N. Bend 8-5-11-5 29
7. LaSalle 6-8-7-9 30
8. N. Valley 12-9-6-6 33
9. Philomath 13-7-10-8 38
10. Hidden Valley 10-6-14-9 39
11. Junction City 9-11-8-14 42
12. Tillamook 10-14-9-16 49
13. Newport 11-12-15-14 52
14. Estacada 16-13-13-13 55
15. Baker 14-15-16-11 56
16. Ontario 15-15-16-11 57

This week's numbers:

4A, 10/14/08 Team, Record, Points, Current Place in League

Astoria (7-0) 45.000 (1st)
Gladstone (6-0) 45.000 (t-1st)
Banks (5-2) 44.000 (t-2nd)
Central (7-0) 43.857 (t-2nd)
Marist (5-2) 43.571 (1st)
North Valley (5-1) 43.333 (2nd)
LaSalle (4-2) 42.667 (4th)
Junction City (4-3) 42.000 (2nd)
Tillamook (5-2) 41.857 (t-2nd)
Elmira (5-2) 41.571 (t-5th)
LaPine (5-2) 41.143 (4th)
Philomath (6-1) 41.143 (1st)
Baker (4-2) 41.000 (xxx)
North Bend (6-1) 41.000 (t-1st)
Estacada (5-2) 40.857 (t-1st)
Stayton (5-2) 40.857 (3rd)
Hidden Valley (5-1) 40.833 (1st)
Henley (3-4) 40.714 (4th)
Newport (4-2) 40.167 (t-2nd)
Ontario (5-1) 40.000 (xxx)
Cottage Grove (3-4) 39.857 (3rd)
McLoughlin (3-3) 39.833 (xxx)
Scappoose (3-4) 39.571 (t-2nd)
Sutherlin (2-5) 38.571 (3rd)
North Marion (3-4) 38.429 (5th)
Pleasant Hill (2-5) 38.143 (7th)
Sisters (4-3) 38.000 (t-5th)
Siuslaw (2-4) 37.833 (t-5th)
Phoenix (2-5) 37.714 (5th)
South Umpqua (3-4) 37.714 (4th)
Sweet Home (1-6) 37.571 (t-4th)
LaGrande (1-5) 37.000 (xxx)
Cascade (1-6) 36.857 (6th)
Taft (1-6) 36.143 (t-4th)
Douglas (3-4) 36.000 (t-1st)
Illinois Valley (1-6) 35.429 (3rd)
Yamhill-Carlton (1-6) 35.429 (5th)
Brookings (0-6) 34.500 (t-5th)
Seaside (0-7) 34.429 (6th)
Molalla (0-7) 33.714 (7th)

Based on current league standings (and the standings are starting to make sense) and the system of using 2 teams per league and 6 wild-cards for a 20-team playoff, the playoff teams would be, with their league records in parentheses:

Cowapa: Astoria (2-0), Banks (1-1) Capital: Estacada (3-0), Gladstone (2-0) Far West: North Bend (2-0), Douglas (2-0) Valco: Central (2-0), Philomath (2-0) Sky-Em: Junction City (3-1), Marist (3-0) Skyline: N. Valley (1-0), Hidden Valley (2-0) GOL: Baker (0-0) and Ontario (0-0) (speculation here).

The six wildcard teams would be LaSalle, Tillamook, Elmira, LaPine, Stayton and Henley.

In this week: Douglas, LaPine, Stayton
Out this week: South Umpqua, Newport, Cottage Grove

The first round byes would go to the first place teams (Astoria, Gladstone, NB, Central, Marist, HV and Baker) and Banks.

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