Thursday, November 6, 2008

A comparison of the 6A brackets, OSAA vs. JeffD's.

If you have a constructive comment about what I've done this year, I'm more than open to suggestions. Leave them here or you can email me at cghs24 at yahoo.com and I guarantee a response...well, eventually. I do occasionally check that mailbox.

6A

My bracket:
Jesuit (2) bye
Barlow @ Sprague
Clackamas @ Tigard (9)
Wilson @ Grants Pass (6)
South Salem (4) bye
Canby (7) @ West Linn
Westview @ Grant
McKay @ Central Catholic (10)
South Medford (3) bye
Southridge (5) @ David Douglas
Newberg @ McNary (14)
Centennial @ Lincoln (13)
Lake Oswego (1) bye
Oregon City @ Sheldon (11)
West Salem @ Beaverton (11)
Gresham @ Tualatin (8)

OSAA Bracket:

Jesuit (2) bye
Gresham @ Grants Pass (6)
Wilson @ Canby (7)
Clackamas @ South Salem (4)
Lake Oswego (1) bye
McKay @ Grant
Sheldon (11) @ Tigard (9)
Westview @ Central Catholic (10)
South Medford (3) bye
Newberg @ David Douglas
Oregon City @ Southridge (5)
Centennial @ Lincoln (13)
Tualatin (8) bye
Roseburg @ McNary (14)
Barlow @ West Linn
Sprague @ Beaverton (11)

Results of the final oregonlive.com poll in parentheses.

The first thing I notice is that the OSAA bracket is VERY top-heavy. The #1,2,4,6,7,9,10 and the two teams tied for #11 are ALL on top. Not only that, but #2,4,6,and 7 are in the same QUARTER. Two of those teams won't even make it to the quarterfinals. The second-lowest ranked league #1 team has a bye, and the two highest-ranked teams in the bottom half will meet in the quarterfinals. Seems very unbalanced to me.

In my bracket, #2,4,6,7,9 and 10 are still on top, but #1 is no longer there. I'm a little unhappy about #4 playing #7 in the second round, but such is the way of the Pacific league. So, if the pollsters know their stuff, #2 will play #6 and #4 will play #10 in the quarterfinals. In the bottom half are #1,3,5,8,both 11s,12 and 14. The only part of my bracket I'm unhappy with is the second-round matchup between the #3 and #5 teams. My quarters would #3/5 vs #13, and #1 vs #8. Again, the bottom half of this bracket is a little imbalanced, but not horribly.

Final Spreadsheet

Is here.

If you see typos, please let me know.

1A Proposed Playoff

Proposed 1A Playoff

I’ll start by placing the 6 league leaders in the first 6 spots in the bracket. They will go in point order into pools ABCDDC.

Pool A: Dufur
Pool B: Lowell
Pool C: Crane, Imbler
Pool D: Butte Falls, Perrydale

Now to put in the 6 league 2nd-place teams opposite the league champions. Since Pools A and D will be on the top half-bracket, and pools B and C on the bottom half-bracket, I’ll separate based on that. Each team will be placed in the first spot they can possibly be placed in pools BAABCD.

Pool A: Dufur, Joseph, Jordan Valley
Pool B: Lowell, St. Paul, Echo
Pool C: Crane, Imbler, Triad
Pool D: BF, Perrydale, Siletz Valley

Now the wild card teams go into the bracket. They should not be put in a pool with any other team from the same league, if at all possible. Let’s see where they could go: Gilchrist, A or B. Cove, B or D. Triangle Lake, A or C. Adrian, B or D. So that results in this:

Pool A: Dufur, Joseph, JV, Gilchrist
Pool B: Lowell, St. Paul, Echo, Adrian
Pool C: Crane, Imbler, Triad, Triangle Lake
Pool D: BF, Perrydale, Siletz, Cove

The bracket would be:
Gilchrist @ Dufur
Jordan Valley @ Joseph
Siletz Valley @ Perrydale
Cove @ Butte Falls
Triangle Lake @ Crane
Triad @ Imbler
Echo @ St. Paul
Adrian @ Lowell

Just for jollies, here’s a bracket with the top 16 points teams without any regard for league matchups.

Adrian @ Dufur
Jordan Valley @ St. Paul
Gilchrist @ Perrydale
Triad @ Butte Falls
Cove @ Crane
Echo @ Joseph
Siletz Valley @ Imbler
Triangle Lake @ Lowell

I know this was a long post. Thanks for reading!

1A Final Points

1A, Final

First Place in League
Dufur 46.000
Lowell 45.556
Crane 44.444
Butte Falls 43.667
Perrydale 43.333
Imbler 42.250

Second Place in League
Joseph 42.556
St. Paul 42.100
Echo 41.900
Jordan Valley 41.800
Siletz Valley 41.625
Triad 41.375

Wild Cards: (Four)
Gilchrist 41.375
Cove 41.000
Triangle Lake 41.000
Adrian 40.750

Everyone Else

Camas Valley 40.500
Crow 40.444
South Wasco County 40.444
Mitchell/Spray 39.667
Ione 39.500
Falls City 39.111
Elkton 39.000
Days Creek 38.889
Mohawk 38.889
Harper 38.375
Wallowa 37.750
Sherman 37.600
Condon/Wheeler 37.556
Pine Eagle 37.556
Alsea 37.500
Arlington 37.500
Mapleton 37.500
Country Christian 37.000
Portland Lutheran 37.000
Prairie City 36.600
Jewell 36.250
McKenzie 36.222
North Lake 36.222
Powder Valley 36.222
Dayville/LC/Monument 36.000
Powers 35.444
OSD 35.375
Burnt River 34.500
Eddyville 34.250
Prospect 33.556
Huntington 33.000
Nixya’awii 33.000
Cascade Locks 29.667

Teams that would have qualified in my system that did not actually: Cove, Triangle Lake
Teams that would not have qualified in my system that did actually: S. Wasco County, Mohawk.

Proposed 3A Playoff

Proposed 3A Playoff

I’ll start by placing the 5 #1 seeds in the first 5 spots in the bracket. They will go in point order into pools ABCDD.

Pool A: Amity
Pool B: Grant Union
Pool C: Rainier
Pool D: Gold Beach, Regis

Now to put in the 5 league #2 seeds opposite the league champions. Since Pools A and D will be on the top half-bracket, and pools B and C on the bottom half-bracket, I’ll separate based on that. Each team will be placed in the first spot they can possibly be placed in pools CBAAB

Pool A: Amity, Umatilla, Vernonia
Pool B: GU, Cascade Christian, Willamina
Pool C: Rainier, Santiam Christian
Pool D: Gold Beach, Regis

Now the third place teams and Dayton go into the bracket. They should not be put in a pool with any other team from the same league. Once Colton is placed, we know where Dayton will go. We will check for spots in this order: CDDCBA.

Pool A: Amity, Umatilla, Vernonia, Jefferson
Pool B: GU, CC, Willamina, Warrenton
Pool C: Rainier, SC, Myrtle Point, Dayton
Pool D: GB, Regis, Colton, Vale

The bracket would be:

Jefferson @ Amity
Vernonia @ Umatilla
Colton @ Regis
Vale @ Gold Beach
Dayton @ Rainier
Myrtle Point @ Santiam Christian
Willamina @ Cascade Christian
Warrenton @ Grant Union

Just for jollies, here’s a bracket with the top 16 points teams without any regard for league matchups.

Bandon @ Amity
Umatilla @ Cascade Christian
Clatskanie @ Myrtle Point
Colton @ Gold Beach
Vale @ Rainier
Dayton @ Regis
Willamina @ Santiam Christian
Sheridan @ Grant Union

3A Final Points

3A, Final

First Place in League
Amity 45.556
Grant Union 45.111
Rainier 44.700 (opponent’s W-L: 50-43)
Gold Beach 44.700 (opponent’s W-L: 43-51)
Regis 42.800

Second Place in League
Santiam Christian 42.100
Cascade Christian 42.000
Umatilla 41.667
Willamina 41.000
Vernonia 38.111

Third Place in League
Myrtle Point 43.200
Colton 39.889
Vale 39.778
Jefferson 39.000
Warrenton 37.800

Wild Card (One)

Dayton 40.500

Everyone Else

Clatskanie 40.000
Bandon 39.667
Sheridan 39.625
Coquille 38.889
Reedsport 38.800
Horizon Christian 38.750
Nyssa 38.556
Toledo 38.556
Glide 38.333
Creswell 38.200
Harrisburg 37.100
Burns 37.000
Valley Catholic 36.222
Waldport 35.900
Neah-Kah-Nie 35.667
Gervais 34.111
Riverdale 33.714
Rogue River 33.556
Riverside 32.625
Chemawa 32.375

Teams that would have qualified in my system that did not actually: Dayton
Teams that would not have qualified in my system that did actually: Bandon

Saturday, November 1, 2008

Proposed 2A Playoff

Proposed 2A Playoff

I’ll start by placing the 5 #1 seeds in the first 5 spots in the bracket. They will go in point order into pools ABCDD.

Pool A: Culver
Pool B: Heppner
Pool C: Knappa
Pool D: Lakeview, Oakridge

Now to put in the 5 league 2nd-place teams opposite the league champions. Since Pools A and D will be on the top half-bracket, and pools B and C on the bottom half-bracket, I’ll separate based on that. Each team will be placed in the first spot they can possibly be placed in pools CBAAB.

Pool A: Culver, Pilot Rock, Portland Christian
Pool B: Heppner, Santiam, Central Linn
Pool C: Knappa, Bonanza
Pool D: Lakeview, Oakridge

Now the third place teams go into the bracket, into pools CDD if possible. They should not be put in a pool with any other team from the same league. Once Elgin is placed, we know where Weston-McEwen will go, and hopefully we can fill in the other two wild-card teams.

Pool A: 1. Culver; 2. Pilot Rock; 3. Portland Christian; 4. Lost River.
Pool B: 1. Heppner; 2. Santiam; 3. Central Linn; 4. Nestucca.
Pool C: 1. Knappa; 2. Bonanza; 3. Elgin; 4. Oakland.
Pool D: 1. Lakeview; 2. Oakridge; 3. Scio; 4. Weston-McEwen.

Success!

The bracket would be:
Lost River @ Culver
Portland Christian @ Pilot Rock
Scio @ Oakridge
Weston-McEwen @ Lakeview
Oakland @ Knappa
Elgin @ Bonanza
Central Linn @ Santiam
Nestucca @ Heppner

Just for jollies, here’s a bracket with the top 16 points teams without any regard for league matchups.

Oakland @ Culver
Nestucca @ Oakridge
Elgin @ Portland Christian
Weston-McEwen @ Knappa
Lost River @ Heppner
Central Linn @ Bonanza
Santiam @ Lakeview
Kennedy @ Pilot Rock

I know this was a long post. Thanks for reading!