Wednesday, October 15, 2008

3A, 10/14

I made an attempt at a top 14 here, based on 3 criteria and the teams receiving votes in the coaches poll. 1 & 2 are the Colley and RPI ratings from www.oregonprepsports.net, which is nice enough to link to this blog. 3 is my own point system explained in other parts of this place, which strongly takes into account strength of schedule. 4 is my bestest guess at the coaches poll, based on last week's poll and the latest results.

Team - Colley rank - RPI - My rating - Poll - Total
1. Gold Beach 1-2-4-1 8
2. Rainier 3-1-1-4 9
3. Grant Union 5-3-2-2 12
4. Amity 2-5-3-3 13
5. Umatilla 5-3-6-7 21
6. Santiam Christian 4-6-7-6 23
7. Regis 8-9-8-5 30
8. Cascade Christian 7-7-10-8 32
9. Myrtle Point 10-10-5-9 34
10. Dayton 11-11-9-11 42
11. Vale 14-8-11-10 43
12. Willamina 9-12-13-11 45
13. Colton 13-14-12-13 52
13. Toledo 12-13-13-14 52

Top 4 clearly ahead of the rest at the moment.

My points/proposed playoff teams for the week.
3A, 10/14/08 Team, Record, Points, Current Place in League

Rainier (5-1) 45.286 (t-1st)
Grant Union (6-0) 45.167 (t-1st)
Amity (6-0) 45.000 (t-1st)
Gold Beach (6-1) 44.571 (1st)
Myrtle Point (6-1) 42.714 (t-2nd)
Umatilla (6-0) 42.000 (t-1st)
Santiam Christian (6-1) 41.857 (t-1st)
Regis (6-1) 41.143 (t-1st)
Dayton (4-3) 40.571 (3rd)
Cascade Christian (3-3) 40.500 (t-2nd)
Horizon Christian (2-3) 39.800 (t-4th)
Vale (2-4) 39.667 (t-5th)
Colton (4-2) 39.333 (t-4th)
Glide (4-2) 39.333 (4th)
Nyssa (2-4) 39.333 (t-3rd)
Clatskanie (2-5) 39.286 (t-5th)
Reedsport (4-3) 39.143 (5th)
Sheridan (3-3) 39.000 (6th)
Burns (1-6) 38.714 (t-3rd)
Toledo (3-3) 38.500 (3rd)
Willamina (4-2) 38.500 (t-1st)
Harrisburg (2-5) 38.143 (t-4th)
Jefferson (2-5) 37.857 (t-4th)
Warrenton (2-5) 37.857 (t-3rd)
Vernonia (2-4) 37.833 (t-1st)
Bandon (3-3) 37.333 (t-6th)
Coquille (2-4) 37.000 (t-6th)
Neah-Kah-Nie (2-4) 36.167 (t-3rd)
Valley Catholic (1-6) 36.143 (t-7th)
Creswell (2-5) 36.000 (t-7th)
Waldport (2-5) 35.000 (6th)
Gervais (0-6), 34.667 (t-7th)
Rogue River (0-6) 33.833 (8th)
Riverdale (0-4) 33.000 (t-5th)
Chemawa (0-5) 31.000 (t-7th)
Riverside (0-5) 30.400 (t-5th)

Based on current league standings (starting to iron themselves out) and the system of using 3 teams per league and 1 wild-card for a 16-team playoff, the playoff teams would be, with their league records in parentheses:

L&C: Rainier (2-0), Vernonia (2-0), either Neah-Kah-Nie (1-1) or Warrenton (1-1) West Valley: Amity (4-0), Willamina (4-0), Dayton (3-1) PacWest: Regis (4-0), Santiam Christian (4-0), Toledo (3-1) Sunset: Gold Beach (4-0), Cascade Christian (3-1), Myrtle Point (3-1) E. Oregon: Grant Union (2-0), Umatilla (2-0), either Burns (1-1) or Nyssa (1-1).

The wildcard would be Horizon Christian, with Vale close behind.

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