2A, 10/14

I made an attempt at a top 14 here, based on 3 criteria and the teams receiving votes in the coaches poll. 1 & 2 are the Colley and RPI ratings from www.oregonprepsports.net, which is nice enough to link to this blog. 3 is my own point system explained in other parts of this place, which strongly takes into account strength of schedule. 4 is my bestest guess at the coaches poll, based on last week's poll and the latest results.

Team - Colley rank - RPI - My rating - Poll - Total
1. Lakeview 1-1-6-1 9
2. Culver 2-2-2-2 8
3. Heppner 3-5-4-4 16
4. Bonanza 7-4-1-8 20
5. Portland Christian 4-6-4-7 21
6. Pilot Rock 10-8-2-6 26
7. Santiam 5-7-8-10 30
8. Oakridge 6-12-9-5 32
8. Nestucca 9-3-11-9 32
10. Knappa 13-14-10-3 40
11. Central Linn 12-10-7-11 40
12. Lost River 8-9-13-11 41
13. Elgin 11-11-12-14 48
14. Scio 14-13-14-11 52

Cripes, this class is confusing. Put Lakeview ahead of Culver because they won the game...and the undefeated team is...10th?

My system still is in love with Bonanza...not sure what I can do about it...although their next 2 games are against the lowest rank teams, and it will drop them down quite a bit.

Here's what I have this week...

2A, 10/14/08 Team, Record, Points, Current Place in League

Bonanza (4-1) 44.600 (3rd)
Culver (5-1) 43.333 (t-1st)
Pilot Rock (5-1) 43.333 (t-2nd)
Heppner (5-2) 43.286 (1st)
Portland Christian (6-1) 43.286 (1st)
Lakeview (4-2) 43.000 (t-1st)
Central Linn (5-2) 42.571 (2nd)
Santiam (5-1) 42.500 (t-1st)
Oakridge (6-1) 42.143 (1st)
Knappa (6-0) 41.667 (2nd)
Kennedy (3-4) 40.714 (t-3rd)
North Douglas (4-1) 40.600 (t-3rd)
Nestucca (5-2) 40.571 (3rd)
Elgin (4-2) 40.500 (t-2nd)
Lost River (3-3) 40.167 (t-1st)
Weston-McEwen (4-2) 40.167 (t-4th)
Scio (4-3) 40.143 (t-3rd)
Stanfield (3-3) 39.667 (6th)
Blanchet (3-4) 39.000 (t-5th)
Enterprise (3-3) 39.000 (t-4th)
Oakland (3-2) 38.600 (t-3rd)
Union (1-5) 37.333 (t-7th)
Chiloquin (3-4) 36.714 (4th)
Salem Academy (2-4) 36.500 (t-5th)
Glendale (1-5) 36.167 (8th)
Riddle (1-5) 36.167 (t-5th)
Gaston (2-4) 36.000 (5th)
Irrigon (0-5) 36.000 (t-7th)
Yoncalla (2-4) 35.500 (7th)
Corbett (0-5) 35.200 (4th)
Monroe (1-5) 35.000 (t-5th)
St. Mary’s (1-5) 33.667 (5th)

Based on current league standings (yes, I know, very early in the season) and the system of using 3 teams per league and 1 wild-card for a 16-team playoff, the playoff teams would be, with their league records in parentheses:

Northwest: Knappa (1-0), Nestucca (1-1), Portland Christian (2-0) Mountain View: Oakland or North Douglas (3-1), Oakridge (4-0), Central Linn (3-1) Tri-River: Culver (2-0), Kennedy or Scio (1-1), Santiam (2-0) SCL: Bonanza (1-1), Lakeview (1-0), Lost River (1-0) Blue Mtn: Heppner (4-0), Pilot Rock (3-1) and Elgin (3-1).

The wild card would be (depending on the third place teams): N. Douglas (if Oakland and Kennedy are third), Kennedy (if Scio is third), or Weston-McEwen (if ND and Kennedy are third).

Confused? Me too.